Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2829.708155 3061.127768 3295.786356 3551.224472 3821.122385 4097.497194 4401.571586
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2488.550919 2835.564385 3200.649206 3612.148510 4061.811157 4537.032054 5075.989376
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2216.725884 2628.105286 3073.130272 3587.820408 4164.116009 4786.987419 5508.522411
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2071.800343 2537.511951 3052.836088 3661.221000 4355.608462 5119.288029 6018.395744
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1924.724836 2428.623895 2997.769749 3682.189892 4476.707291 5363.889761 6423.141490
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1790.454395 2322.875538 2935.785548 3685.362368 4568.950903 5569.103192 6778.162978
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1614.598218 2155.734616 2790.946760 3581.175207 4527.088080 5612.327029 6940.368641
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1572.370046 2146.653604 2830.988641 3693.484039 4737.934957 5948.387986 7443.162030
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1515.354779 2114.819265 2839.780615 3765.118482 4898.260620 6224.257268 7875.910952
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1429.072930 2040.918430 2792.319257 3764.019212 4967.625413 6389.985321 8177.184441
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1338.548009 1956.569703 2727.336907 3737.087586 5001.982653 6511.185787 8423.624074
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1281.890912 1913.138551 2711.269357 3768.895261 5106.879990 6716.667490 8771.548598
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1210.993074 1848.643705 2666.902321 3764.563036 5167.813295 6871.070051 9062.042479
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1173.039620 1826.664619 2676.361130 3828.367854 5314.433391 7131.866860 9485.060981
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1102.477332 1756.395854 2619.133693 3802.963484 5345.624883 7248.228426 9729.676538
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1076.322842 1746.297349 2640.673276 3879.608901 5506.944901 7527.194274 10176.982469
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1031.634818 1707.723346 2621.951539 3901.501660 5596.649699 7715.970867 10512.521462
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 983.215363 1661.426509 2590.646621 3904.813794 5660.894362 7871.933326 10807.093004
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 899.334147 1559.472368 2478.869773 3796.023681 5574.820325 7833.820413 10854.611990
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 895.948651 1576.465817 2533.015808 3913.292851 5788.306903 8180.833137 11393.031896
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 879.015018 1572.125726 2556.414328 3988.070754 5945.488104 8456.206021 11841.901165
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 839.125376 1531.014503 2525.888874 3986.923364 6000.072643 8598.412812 12120.622428
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 793.330422 1478.679295 2477.303303 3958.811667 6016.870757 8690.516746 12334.565020